O’RTACHA HAVO HARORATINING TREND TAHLILI: O’ZBЕKISTONNING SURXONDARYO VILOYATI MISOLIDA
##submission.downloads##
Ushbu tadqiqotda Surxondaryo viloyatidagi 5 ta meteorologik stansiyada o‘rtacha oylik harorat o‘zgarishlari Mann-Kendall trend testi va keskin o‘zgarish nuqtalari Mann-Kendall usuli yordamida aniqlangan. Boysun stansiyasida iyul oyida eng sezilarli o‘sish kuzatilib, Z = 4.40 (p < 0.001) va Sen’s qiyaligi Q = 0.134 bo‘ldi. Iyun oyida ham ijobiy trend qayd etildi (Z = 2.31, p < 0.05, Q = 0.060). Denovda iyul oyida harorat ortib (Z = 2.56, p < 0.05, Q = 0.075), oktyabrda esa kamaygan (Z = -2.54, p < 0.05, Q = -0.154). Termizda iyul oyida sezilarli o‘zgarish qayd etildi (Z = 3.73, p < 0.01, Q = 0.11). Sherobodda sentabr oyida (Z = 2.71, Q = 0.10), Shurchida esa iyun (Z = 2.26, Q = 0.07) va iyul (Z = 3.01, Q = 0.07) oylarida muhim o‘zgarishlar kuzatildi.
Yue, S., & Hashino, M. (2003). Long-term trends of annual and monthly precipitation in Japan. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 39(3), 587-596.
2. Hamed, K. H., & Rao, A. R. (1998). A modified Mann-Kendall trend test for autocorrelated data. Journal of Hydrology, 204(1-4), 182-196.
3. Burn, D. H., & Elnur, M. A. (2002). Detection of hydrologic trends and variability. Journal of Hydrology, 255(1-4), 107-122.
4. Kahya, E., & Karabork, H. (2001). Analysis of Turkish precipitation data: Trends and variability. Hydrological Processes, 15(11), 2051-2066.
5. Partal, T., & Kahya, E. (2006). Trend analysis in Turkish precipitation data. Hydrological Processes, 20(9), 2011-2026.
6. Zhang, X., & Cong, Z. (2014). Trends of precipitation intensity and frequency in the Yellow River Basin, China, detected by the Mann-Kendall test. Hydrology Research, 45(3), 419-429.
7. Shrestha, M. L., & Moore, J. N. (2009). Trends in temperature extremes in the Nepal Himalaya and its variability. Journal of Geophysical Research, 114(D17), D17109.
8. Zhang, Q., Li, J., Singh, V. P., & Xu, C. Y. (2013). Copula-based analysis of hydrological extremes and possible changes under climate change in the Yangtze River Basin, China. Journal of Hydrological Engineering, 18(6), 698-709.
Mulkiiyat (c) 2025 «O‘zMU XABARLARI»

Ushbu ish quyidagi litsenziya asosida ruxsatlangan Kreativ Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International litsenziyasi asosida bu ish ruxsatlangan..






.jpg)

.png)





