СТАТИСТИЧЕСКИЙ АНАЛИЗ И ПРОГНОЗИРОВАНИЕ ДИНАМИКИ ЗАГОТОВЛЕННОГО ХЛОПКА СИРДАРЬИНСКОЙ ОБЛАСТИ В РЕСПУБЛИКЕ УЗБЕКИСТАН
An ordered number of random events changing over time forms a time series. In the article, using
the method of statistical analysis of time series, the statistical regularity of (y t )-average volume of
dynamics of harvested cotton in the Sirdarya region of the Republic of Uzbekistan (based on the
materials of the Central Statistical Bureau of the Republic of Uzbekistan for 2003-2024) is studied.
Point and interval estimates for the average volume of dynamics of harvested cotton in the Sirdarya
region have been constructed with a 95% guarantee, clear types of trends have been determined,
and the expected volume of cotton in the region for subsequent years has been predicted. Using the
Durbin-Watson statistical criteria, it has been established that the average volume of cotton in the
region has an autocorrelation dependence.
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